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August 25, 2026 3 views

The Deal Died Over Trucks: US–Canada Talks Collapse, 50% Tariffs Take Effect — and Trump Now Wants 50% on Rigs Too

Three days after the 72-hour reprieve, there is no deal. Ottawa walked away late Friday when Washington pulled medium- and heavy-duty trucks out of the promised tariff cut; 50% Section 338 duties hit Canadian goods at 12:01 a.m. Saturday; Canada retaliates dollar-for-dollar from September 8; and on Monday Trump vowed 50% on 'all Cars, Trucks, both large and small' from January 1, 2027. Trucks moved $35.9 billion across that border in June alone.

#Canada #tariffs #Section 338 #cross-border #heavy-duty trucks #USMCA #trade war

The 72-hour pause bought nothing. On Friday evening, August 21, Prime Minister Mark Carney announced Canada was suspending trade negotiations with the United States, and at 12:01 a.m. Eastern on Saturday the 50% tariffs Washington had held back for three days came into force. By Monday, the fight had escalated again — this time aimed squarely at the trucks themselves.

What actually broke the deal

Both sides say a deal was close. The framework on the table would have cut the U.S. tariff on Canadian autos from 25% to 15%. Ottawa expected that relief to extend to medium- and heavy-duty trucks and large pickups — including the F-350s Ford builds in Ontario. In the final hours, U.S. negotiators removed that vehicle classification from the list.

“ To deny such relief to trucks is a big change, obviously. ”

— Mark Carney, Prime Minister of Canada

Flavio Volpe, president of Canada's Automotive Parts Manufacturers' Association, put it more bluntly to CBC: 'At the last minute, the Americans pulled that classification out of the class of product that would get a reduced tariff.' U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, speaking to CNBC on Monday, told the story from the other side of the table: 'We progressed to a point Tuesday night where we had enough agreement among the parties to announce that we had found the way to a deal. But… then in the last hours, I think there were things that the Canadians just — you know, they wanted more.'

What is now in force

The Section 338 package, effective August 22

50% duties under Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 — a 1930s provision, invoked for the first time in the modern era, that lets a president hit a country found to 'discriminate' against U.S. commerce with duties of up to 50%, with no built-in expiry.

Scope: three July 20 proclamations covering alcohol, dairy and a broad third annex (agri-food, leather, textiles, metals, industrial machinery, circuit boards). Ottawa puts the affected goods at roughly $28 billion; U.S. trade press has used a figure closer to $20 billion — the baskets and base years differ.

No USMCA carve-out: goods that qualify under the trade agreement are hit anyway.

Exempt: energy, potash, fish, critical minerals — and anything already under Section 232 duties. That is why Class 3–8 trucks are not in this basket: they have carried a separate 25% Section 232 tariff since November 1, 2025.

Canada's answer: a dollar-for-dollar counter-tariff package starting September 8, reported to target U.S. steel, dairy, appliances, agricultural equipment, pulp and paper, and electronics.

Monday's escalation

On August 24, President Trump posted that on January 1, 2027, tariffs on 'all Cars, Trucks, both large and small, Automotive Parts, and Steel' from Canada would rise to 50%. If carried out, that would double the current 25% Section 232 rate on the very truck category the talks fell apart over.

Why every carrier on the northern border should care

The numbers are not abstract. According to the Bureau of Transportation Statistics, U.S.–Canada freight was worth $67.9 billion in June 2026, and $35.9 billion of it — more than half — moved by truck, through Detroit, Port Huron and Buffalo above all. The Canadian Trucking Alliance called the standoff an 'immediate, systemic threat' to the transborder supply chain, and pointed out the mechanism that hurts twice: fewer southbound Canadian export loads means fewer Canadian trucks positioned to haul freight back north.

“ Small carriers and owner-operators are often the first businesses to feel the effects of a trade disruption, but among the last to be considered for relief. ”

— Tej Dulat, Director of Government & Public Affairs, Canada Truck Operators Association

What to do this week

Cross-border loads: confirm with the customs broker whether each commodity falls under a Section 338 annex — USMCA paperwork does not save it.

Contracts: check who bears the duty on DDP versus DAP terms; a 50% line item changes the economics of the load, not just the price.

Northbound backhauls: expect thinner Canadian capacity heading back up; price it now rather than discovering it at the border.

Watch September 8 (Canadian counter-tariffs) and any formal action behind the January 1, 2027 threat.

Cross-border freight is repricing in real time

Follow the U.S.–Canada tariff fight and what it means for lanes, rates and capacity — on Qrylo.

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